Donald Trump: the Marmite man

2 Oct 2018

 

On the Left, accusations of Russian collusion, racism, sexism and Islamophobia are commonplace. On the Right, Trump is revered for delivering campaign promises, and sticking the proverbial finger to the political elite. His policies, his persona, everything about the man seems to either attract adoration or hatred.

 

Even in the far more moderate political climate of the UK, his 'love me or hate me' character has made its mark, with the Speaker of the House of Commons refusing to extend an offer to speak whilst the former Foreign Secretary, Boris Johnson, expressed his admiration for the incumbent President of the United States.

 

It’s a unique position that Mr Trump finds himself in. His visit to Britain was rocked by protests and counter-protests, the infamous Baby Trump blimp and the following Bikini Khan massively working in his favour. One only needs to spend a few minutes browsing the web to realise that, while many of us in the UK, even those of us who like him, think he’s a bit silly, his fans in the US are more devoted than any I have seen for any political leader. And there are a lot of them.

 

Across the US, Senate seats have turned red, the Democrats even losing some serious strongholds like Texas Senate District 19, which had been Democrat-held for the best part of 140 years. It’s not like Trump is about to run out of supporters any time soon. If anything, his momentum continues to build the longer his presidency continues and, as Trump continues to capitalise on political success after political success, we may well see him in for a second term.

 

In terms of near-term goals, the midterm elections in November and confirming Brett Kavanaugh as a Supreme Court judge will be major for the administration. From a neutral standpoint, the results of the midterms will be very indicative of public opinion of Trump as a whole, and if the Republicans can push through this Supreme Court nomination despite the allegations against Mr Kavanaugh, it’ll consolidate their controlling position.

 

That doesn’t mean life is about to get any easier for Trump. He still faces stiff opposition from the Democrats, who continue to throw up barriers against his plans. What it does mean, though, is the more successes he can get under his belt, the more likely he is to have that crucial public backing that such a controversial political figure will need come 2021, when he is expected to run for a second term.

 

So what can we expect from the Trump administration in the next few months? Well, certainly not another visit to the UK any time soon, as I’m sure some of you will be glad to hear. Campaigning on behalf of Republican senators for the midterms is taking up plenty of resources, and will be the main focus of an administration who are desperate to maintain their majority in both the senate and the House of Representatives.

 

We can also expect the administration to continue their efforts to repeal Obamacare, some more work towards the 2019 fiscal budget goals and, most crucially, Trump’s standoff with Iran over the Middle-East crisis. We may also yet see Trump lending a hand in the Korean peninsula negotiations, which he has made a linchpin of his foreign policy since his inauguration, though this remains to be seen.

 

Overall, a stressful time for Trump, and what happens between now and November 8th could make the difference between Making America Great Again, and losing everything he’s worked towards.

 

 

 

Share on Facebook
Share on Twitter
Please reload

Want to respond? Submit an article.

SUPPORT BACKBENCH

We provide a space for reasoned arguments and constructive disagreements.

Help to improve the quality of political debate – support our work today.